A PDF version of the situation report can be found here.
NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION, TRANSPORTATION AND STORAGE
Texas natural gas production, processing, transmission, and storage sectors continue durable performance due to industry efforts. According to S&P Global Platts, the 30-day average for Texas onshore production is expected to be strong on Tuesday, January 31, with daily production averaging 24.97 bcf/d.
S&P Global Platts is estimating Texas onshore production will decline by 0.37 bcf from Monday, January 30 to Tuesday, January 31 and overall Texas onshore remains 0.9 bcf above last year. Total demand across the U.S. including LNG and other exports is up 4.5 bcf/d, mostly driven by residential demand increases across the U.S. resulting from winter weather and cold temperatures.
WEATHER STATUS & SITUTATION REPORTS (STATE OPERATIONS CENTER)
• Several rounds of wintry mix, primarily freezing rain and possible icing into Wednesday with travel impacts lingering into early Thursday for a large portion of the state, including North, Central, and West Texas
• Moderate to locally major travel impacts and some power outages/tree damage possible Tuesday and Wednesday
• Heavy rain and flash flood potential Wednesday to Thursday for East and Southeast Texas
• FEMA Region VI Weather Threat Brief
• Situation Awareness Brief
• PUC Safety Reminder
NOTICE TO OPERATORS
The Texas Railroad Commission issued a notice to operators on Sunday, January 29 regarding the anticipated wintry conditions.
TEXAS FIELD CONDITIONS
Natural gas supply is holding strong. Most weather-related issues are due to icy road conditions. Water haulers are not expected to run today in the Barnett Shale. Icy road conditions are expected tomorrow as well.
TEXAS POWER STATUS
ERCOT reports operations normal as of 1/31/23, 10:00 am. Anticipated peak demand is expected to occur at 2:00 pm. Available capacity at peak demand is expected to be 76,061 MW, with the demand forecast at 60,990 MW. There is expected to be enough power to meet demand.
Source: ERCOT, 1/31/23, 10:00 am.
WINTERIZATION IN THE FIELD
Onsite, seasonal weatherization techniques include methanol injection, temperature activated pumps, steamer units, equipment shelters, and insulated critical lines and valves. Additional pre-storm and offsite measures include:
• Secure shelter/housing and pre-positioning personnel to be closer to assets for access
• Adjust employee schedules to ensure planning and preparations in place
• Have extra methanol and other supplies on trucks
• Preparing and draining tanks to increase on-site storage and provide a temporary buffer for necessary third-party movement of product
• Pre-inspection of assets prior to weather event
• “Line-packing” to maximize product and pressurization in pipelines
• Communication with third party vendors to prepare for inclement weather contingencies
• Identification of the most critical assets to help maintain power from electric utilities
IMPACT OF WEATHER ON FIELD OPERATIONS
Personnel safety and ensuring safe operations are the first priorities of operators. Many elements can impact continued field operations outside of the operator’s control, including:
• Transportation – the accumulation of precipitation can impact operators’ ability to access remote well sites to check on operations and make any needed adjustments
• Third party contractor disruptions
• Lightning strikes
• Loss of power
• Telecommunication loss
• TDEM maintains a webpage with information and resources here.
• TXDOT provides road closure information in real-time at drivetexas.org.
• RRC reports road issues to TXDOT. You can submit a road issue form here.
• RRC provides a weatherization practices guidance document here.
• RRC maintains a 24-hour, toll-free emergency line, 844-773-0305, to report emergencies, including leaks or spills and damage to gas pipelines.
• PUC provides an electric outage map at puc.texas.gov/storm/index.html.
• TCEQ reports water and sewage outages at tceq.texas.gov/response/index.html.
• ERCOT shares a grid condition dashboard at ercot.com/gridmktinfo/dashboards.
For more information on how the Texas oil and natural gas industry prepares for winter weather, visit TXOGA.org/WinterReady.
This TXOGA Situation Report is a service to TXOGA members and includes a summary of
forecasts, estimates and updates of energy resources and current weather and conditions.
Part of the service is to provide an estimated status of the natural gas sector using third party information. Users of the service should seek to verify the information included in this service prior to use. TXOGA does not warranty, expressly or impliedly, the information contained in the service. Information is subject to change based on third party information updates and revisions. Distribution after receipt by the intended recipient is strictly prohibited.